Thursday, November 7, 2013

Failed policies and plans of Nepal since 1950s

Author Narayan Khadka, in his paper on ‘Challenges to Developing the Economy of Nepal’, which published in 1998 in Contemporary South Asia, argues that the main reason for the underdevelopment of Nepal was because of poor execution of the policies and plans it formulated. It’s been more than one and half a decade since the paper was published, the situation of the country has not been improved much. Some of the sectors such as media, telecommunication and services sector have been performing relatively better but the overall macro economy of the country is still frustrating. 
The abstract of the paper:
Nepal initiated a development policy and plans to both modernize and develop its predominantly agricultural economy only in the early 1950s. In the last four decades, the country has implemented nine five-year plans and invested billions of rupees to developed its economy. This article examines the poor performance of past development efforts in the light of myriad of challenges, local and global economic and political, structural and institutional. It includes that the economic reforms which have been introduced vigorously since the restoration of democracy in 1990 will not yield the desired results unless they effectively and positively contribute to improving the agricultural sector, lead to higher productivity and growth, generate increase mobilization of domestic resources, alleviate poverty and bring greater social equity.
Further, the author discuss the challenges of the economy of the Nepal as, Nepal has been experiencing with different development strategies every decade of so since 1950s. An inflow of aid helped create a minimum of socio-economic overheads in the country. However, the country is caught in a poverty trap and despite 40 years of planning and development efforts, 45 percent of the population have an income of less than a US$ 1.00 a day. The problems Nepal has been facing with regard to the development of the economy are not only socio-economic but also geographic and structural. 

Monday, November 4, 2013

FDI, foreign trade as factors of inequality: Case from China

Authors Xiaobo Zhang & Kevin H. Zhang demonstrate how two major factors of the globalization, foreign trade and foreign direct investment, have been contributing for regional inequality within a developing country, with the evidence from China. The paper has applied same production function in all 28 different provinces of China. “Gains of economic growth have not been evenly distributed across regions. The inequality might have been caused by many factors but foreign trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) also has a major role to play in it,” reads the paper. “A striking feature is that coastal provinces have generated more trade volume (over 86 percent of total) and attracted far more FDI than inland provinces.”
Abstract of the paper:
Developing countries are increasingly concerned about the effects of globalization on regional inequality. This article develops an empirical method for decomposing the contributions of two major driving forces of globalization, foreign trade  and foreign direct investment (FDI), on regional inequality and applies it to China. Even after controlling for many other factors, globalization is still found to be an important factor contributing to widening regional inequality. The article ends by investigating the role of factor market segmentation in aggravating the distributional effect of changing regional comparative advantages in the process of globalization.
Note:
While wondering to connect this framework to Nepal (Though Nepal is a under developed country), the role of foreign trade and foreign direct investment in the economic growth has been limited due to our supply-side constraints. The acute shortage of power for smooth operation of manufacturing sector has always been a major bottleneck for the development of Nepal. There is very rare chances of attracting FDI at a time while domestic firms are shutting down their business due to lack of enough power supply in their firms.